Alexander Hamilton Institute
for
International Trade

Home
Primers
Back

 
Coming Up Empty


By Lou Dobbs
USNews
January 26, 2004


Despite last week's report that our trade deficit declined in
November, the 2003 U.S. trade deficit will be the largest on record,
and our market is flooded with cheap foreign imports while consumers
who want to buy American-made products often can't even find them.

Most Americans would like to support domestic manufacturers by
buying U.S.-made products, but chances are that most of us own goods
made predominantly outside the United States. Wal-Mart alone
imported $12 billion in goods last year from China.
Seventy-six percent of consumers who look for U.S.-made products say
that they have a hard time finding them, and the reason for this is
simple: We've given away our manufacturing base through "free"
trade. In 1951, the average U.S. trade tariff was approximately 15
percent. By 1979 the average industrial tariff had sunk to 5.7
percent, and now it is just under 3 percent. Most foreign importers
enjoy nearly unrestricted access to the U.S. marketplace. As a
result, Americans have become the world's greatest customers, with
the country accumulating a trade deficit every year since 1976.
Digging a big hole. In recent years, the yearly trade deficit has
expanded by more than 2,500 percent from $19 billion in 1980 to its
current level of about half a trillion dollars. Cumulatively, our
total trade deficit since 1976 is a staggering $3.5 trillion. And
countries like China, Japan, Germany, Canada, and Mexico are the
primary beneficiaries.

The U.S. economy has become trapped in a vicious cycle in which we
pay more and more money to the very countries to which we've
surrendered our manufacturing base. And now even some classic
American brands like Mattel and Levi Strauss choose to make their
goods outside the United States, where labor is much less expensive.
The average manufacturing wage in China is 61 cents an hour, while
the average in America is $16. At least 75 percent of toys sold in
the United States are foreign made. Ninety-six percent of all
clothing purchased in the United States is now imported. It's
surprising that we've lost only 3 million manufacturing jobs in the
past three years.

But companies also know that given the choice, many American
consumers would prefer to buy American-made products. And some
companies are resorting to deception to convince U.S. consumers that
their products are made here. Unfortunately, there are no penalties
in the United States for violators who make such claims.

Congressional intervention may be needed to ensure that companies
that falsely claim that their goods are made in America suffer
severe consequences. But to date, Congress's track record supporting
U.S. manufacturers has been less than stellar. Congress was unable
to agree on a buy-American provision in the defense budget,
sponsored by Rep. Duncan Hunter, which required that the Pentagon
buy only U.S.-made goods and that American-made content make up 65
percent of the cost of those products, up from 50 percent. The
provision was shot down late last year.

The United States certainly needs to ramp up efforts in identifying
American-made products, but we also need to stem the tide of imports
that drive our trade deficit ever higher. The first step should be
the negotiation of bilateral trade pacts, not multilateral
NAFTA-like agreements, which can result in millions of U.S. jobs
lost. Because of the vast differences in wages and labor and
production costs, the United States must consider trade agreements
individually.

Amazingly, last week Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan
referred to our record-high trade deficits as "seemingly
uneventful." I assume Greenspan has heard of the boiling frog
analogy, in which as the temperature rises to near boiling, all is
seemingly uneventful for the ill-fated frog. But the Fed chairman
evidently has no problem proclaiming the dangers of what he calls
"clouds of emerging protectionism," apparently referring to a number
of calls by members of Congress for this country to conduct fair
trade and balanced trade. Those calls so concerned Greenspan that he
said, "The costs of any new protectionist initiatives . . . could
significantly erode the flexibility of the global economy."

Joining those members of Congress are Democratic presidential
candidates: Reps. Richard Gephardt of Missouri and Dennis Kucinich
of Ohio, Sens. John Kerry of Massachusetts and John Edwards of North
Carolina, and former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean.
Trade has hardly become a central issue on the campaign trails, up
to this point. But I suspect it is about to. America can no longer
afford the price of "free" trade.

 

 

Promoting the Principles of Genuine Free and Fair Trade